Forwards or Backwards

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Stablecoins: The Backbone of a New Payment System?

Published · 16 min

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A freelancer in the Philippines watches a US dollar payment land on her phone in seconds, for a fraction of a cent. This video asks whether that is a genuine advance in how money moves, or the same dollar in new packaging, and answers with what actually backs the token and why most ordinary businesses still are not using it.

A stablecoin is a token issued on a public blockchain, redeemable one-for-one for a dollar, built to hold its value rather than float the way bitcoin does. Under the GENIUS Act, signed into law on 18 July 2025, a US issuer must back every token at least one-for-one with a short list of permitted reserves: US currency, insured bank deposits, Treasury bills maturing in 93 days or less, overnight repo, and government money-market funds - no corporate debt, no equities - published monthly and examined by an accounting firm. The same Act bars an issuer from paying its holders any interest: the Treasury income the reserves earn stays with the issuer.

The video traces the category's history: early attempts that failed to hold their peg, Tether's October 2014 launch and its 2021 CFTC settlement over reserve claims that were not true for years, Circle and Coinbase's 2018 USDC as an audited rival, and Circle's June 2025 NYSE listing. It covers the one case where the backing was missing entirely: Terra's algorithmic stablecoin UST, which lost its peg in May 2022 and fell to 12 cents within nine days, with no real reserve ever behind it.

It explains why a stablecoin can settle in seconds - skipping the correspondent-banking chain and card networks entirely, not just using a faster token - and who has actually adopted it: crypto exchanges settling trades, Visa reporting a $20 billion annualised stablecoin settlement run rate in 2026, and Western Union's own USDPT stablecoin, launched on Solana in May 2026. Then it covers who has not: a Cleveland Fed survey of 148 firms found only about 5% had any plan to adopt stablecoins, citing satisfaction with existing methods, unfamiliarity, and no client demand - plus the same two structural gaps the video names throughout, no interest and no deposit insurance.

It closes on the Federal Reserve's own rulebook: two rules proposed on 24 September 2026 under the GENIUS Act, open for 60 days of public comment, still being finished as this video is made.

Educational documentary. Not financial or investment advice.

In these topics

Tags

  • stablecoins explained
  • genius act
  • how stablecoins work
  • tether usdt
  • usdc circle
  • terra luna collapse
  • ust depeg
  • federal reserve stablecoin rules
  • cross border payments
  • cryptocurrency explained
  • digital dollar
  • blockchain payments
  • stablecoin regulation
  • payment stablecoin
  • fintech explained

Chapters

  1. A dollar that moves like a text message
  2. What a stablecoin actually is
  3. The one-for-one rule
  4. Where the interest goes
  5. The first attempts
  6. Tether and the trust problem
  7. USDC and the audited rival
  8. When a peg breaks
  9. The rails replacing the banks
  10. Who has already switched
  11. The 95 percent who haven't
  12. The Fed writes the rulebook
  13. A new layer, still finding its floor

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Sources and credits

Original narration, artwork, score and editing assembled locally for Forwards or Backwards. No third-party footage or music; the only third-party imagery is the free-to-use photographs credited below.

Photo credits (Wikimedia Commons):

  • Narration: Kokoro-82M bf_emma, British English.
  • Imagery: generated locally, 13 environments, 13 matched states.
  • Score: original procedural pad, ducked under the narration.

Primary sources

  • Federal Reserve Board, press release and notice of proposed rulemaking on GENIUS Act reserve/capital and bank-subsidiary rules, 24 September 2026, federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/bcreg20260924a.htm - fetched in full 1 October 2026 - the two proposed rules, and the 60-day public comment period following Federal Register publication on 29 September 2026.
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, 'Will US Firms Adopt Stablecoins? Survey Says They're Not Enthusiastic', Economic Commentary 2026-22, DOI 10.26509/frbc-ec-202622, published 28 September 2026, clevelandfed.org - the 148-firm survey, the roughly 5% (8 firms) with adoption plans, and the three reasons firms gave.
  • GENIUS Act of 2025 (P.L. 119-27) text and summaries, including CRS 'Stablecoin Legislation: An Overview of the GENIUS Act of 2025' (IN12553) and Latham & Watkins, 'The GENIUS Act of 2025', lw.com, read 1 October 2026 - the one-for-one reserve rule, permitted reserve assets, the monthly audited reporting requirement, and the Section 4(a)(11) ban on paying interest to holders.
  • U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Press Release 8450-21, 'CFTC Orders Tether and Bitfinex to Pay Fines Totaling $42.5 Million', 15 October 2021, cftc.gov - Tether's $41 million penalty and the CFTC's finding that its reserves were not fully backed from at least June 2016 to February 2019.
  • Congressional Research Service, 'Algorithmic Stablecoins and the TerraUSD Crash' (IN11928), Paul Tierno, Eva Su and Andrew P. Scott, 16 May 2022, congress.gov - read in full 1 October 2026 - UST's algorithmic design, its more-than-$18-billion market capitalisation in early May 2022, and its fall to $0.12 by 16 May 2022.
  • Circle Internet Group investor announcement, 'Circle Announces Pricing of Upsized Initial Public Offering', and CoinDesk, 'Circle Debuts on NYSE at $31 Per Share', 4-5 June 2025, read 1 October 2026 - the NYSE listing date, IPO price and opening-trade price.
  • Coinbase company blog, 'Coinbase and Circle announce the launch of USDC', 2018, read 1 October 2026 - the Centre consortium and USDC's October 2018 launch.
  • PYMNTS, 'Visa Adds 5 Blockchains as Stablecoin Settlement Volume Surges', and related PYMNTS/CoinDesk coverage of Visa's fiscal Q2 FY2026 results, read 1 October 2026 - the $20 billion annualised stablecoin settlement run rate and 15x year-on-year growth. USED IN PLACE OF the brief's $4.5 billion/January 2026 figure, which is superseded by this more current reporting.
  • Unchained Crypto, 'Western Union to Launch USDPT Stablecoin on Solana Next Month', and The Daily Hodl, 'Western Union Officially Rolls Out USDPT Stablecoin on Solana Blockchain', 4-5 May 2026, read 1 October 2026 - USDPT's May 2026 launch date and its agent-network purpose. NOT USED: the brief's specific '360,000 cash payout points' figure and its named Nigeria/Brazil corridors, neither of which could be re-confirmed against a single dated 2026 source in this session.

Figures were not re-pulled within 48 hours of export; re-verify before publication if the film is held.

Not regulated financial advice.